Alexis
Flippen
Expertise: System Safety & Risk Management
Expedition Role: Leader - Independent
Risk Assessment and Honorary Expedition
Team Member
Affiliation: Senior Scientist - Risk Management,
Orbital Sciences Corp. at NASA
Ames Research Center
Who I am and What I
Do
I'm a risk taker by nature and consequently
I study risk for a living.
There is nothing more fascinating to me
than trying to figure out what can go wrong
and how to prevent it...and conversely,
how to increase the likelihood that things
will go right!
By definition, whenever there is
uncertainty, there is risk, which has two
elements: 1) the potential for
an undesired event (such as a safety mishap
or a threat to mission success), and 2)
the impact of the undesired event were it
to occur.
Yes, there is actually a "science"
of risk management that is integral to the
overall NASA mission. This often has
to do with statistics and probabilities
and involves the study of past accidents
and mishaps. For the past 15 years, I've
been working at NASA Ames in the Silicon
Valley, performing safety and risk analyses
in support of the Safety, Environmental,
and Mission Assurance organization, headed
by Laura Doty (Director) and Bob Navarro
(Deputy Director). I was recruited
to Ames following the Challenger accident.
I was responsible for the independent
risk analysis for the Licancabur Expedition.
Having spent a month on Mt. Everest in 2000
as part of a milestone environmental clean-up
expedition, I studied similar risks and
have firsthand knowledge of the those encountered
at 19K feet!! In the photo, taken
above Mt. Everest Base Camp, I'm proudly
wearing my NASA hat.
Please see the home page for
the article I've written that
describes NASA's safety priority, risk management
process, and the risks associated with the
Licancabur Expedition.
Career Journey
My career journey has been anything but
a straight line from goal to achievement.
It's been rather a morphing of interests
and opportunities over the years.
My technical background is varied...but
it has always focused on human learning
and cognition because people are the least
reliable component in any system, yet we
often rely on humans to "save
the day" when the hardware and software
components fail!
As an undergraduate, I studied philosophy
(epistemology, logic, ethics, metaphysics)
to get the "big picture," but
also experimental and physiological psychology
which entailed animal neurosurgery
to understand the underlying neural correlates
to behavior. This was at a very cellular
level. On the other extreme, I worked
at a state mental hospital to see what can
go wrong if there's a deficiency or
insult to the brain.
I also earned a teaching credential and
was a Dean of Women at a private high school
and was a teacher of the gifted.
This was at a macro level of learning.
In graduate school (School of Medical Sciences
at Pacific Medical Center in San Francisco
), my M.S. was focused on the neuropsychology
of learning disorders, once again to understand
the neural mechanisms of learning.
This was about the "hard-wiring"
of the brain, but there was also a clinical
focus to see how the brain can adapt
following disease, trauma, or learning disabilities.
I became a researcher at SRI (Stanford
Research Institute) studying federal education
laws. So, I moved from cellular, to
lab, to the classroom, to research, to policy
levels of learning and education.
A natural outgrowth of learning is training,
and I became a certified trainer and worked
on various Department of Defense programs.
Having seen what people can do wrong on
very high risk/high consequence weapon systems
(including nuclear), I became interested
in risk, safety and human factors engineering
disciplines.
Currently I am completing a doctorate in
Engineering at Bradford University in England,
with a focus on risk management.
Growing up
Native San Franciscan but grew up in the
east bay in a small town called Danville
where we could ride our horses "downtown"
and we got our first stop light when I was
18 years old! This town had the benefits
of semi rural living with access to a major
city and the locus of cultural and intellectual
activity.
What made you study
science?
Science is a disciplined approach to learning.
These days I don't so much conduct science
as help scientists and engineers to
develop safe designs and experiments and
to guide risk-based decisions. Remember,
"safe" does not mean risk free.
It's a relative term. At NASA we mean
that we strive for "acceptable risk."
Hobbies and interests
- Masters swimming. I swim
about 15K meters a week, and am partial
to rough water swims. I "retired"
from competition after winning the race
from Alcatraz Island in the San Francisco
Bay a few years ago. Swimmers have
long since proven that prisoners once confined
on the island could have indeed escaped.
One can endure the cold water but the tides
can be tricky.
- Running. I run several times a week and
the highlight of my running career
was the completing the Greek Marathon.
This is the "original" from
the city of Marathon to Athens (circa 490
BC). As in Life, one must put one
foot in front of the other to get there.
- Equestrian sports. I have three
horses, all ex-Thoroughbred race horses,
that are champion hunter/jumper show horses.
I also ride side-saddle, a very traditional
form of riding for ladies, and achieved
a lifetime goal to qualify and show at our
nation's most famous and important horse
show, The National, held at Madison Square
Garden in Manhattan.
- Cars. I have several somewhat exotic
cars and have raced a bit. Acceleration
is a thrill! No, I have never received
a speeding ticket, as there is a time and
place.
- Hiking/climbing. I live in the
redwoods and find daily peace through the
solitude of running or hiking. Of
course being on Mt. Everest was the highlight
of my climbing experience...but Licancabur
has quite a lure too! Mt. Everest
is now measured at 29,035 ft by the latest
GPS. I am not experienced enough to
attempt a summit, and furthermore, that
is not the mountain I wish to die on (literally
and figuratively).
Anyway, you can see that I am not what they
call "risk averse."
Advice or parting words
for students or teachers
- Sometimes "learning how to learn"
is the greatest challenge.
- You've heard maxim "Everything in
moderation." To that I say "especially
moderation" when it comes to pursuing
those ideas that call to you.
- At NASA we know there can be no
discovery without risk. Just choose
your risks wisely!
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